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Which of the following corresponds to the predictor variable in simple linear regression?


A) regression coefficient
B) dependent variable
C) independent variable
D) predicted variable
E) demand coefficient

F) A) and E)
G) D) and E)

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An advantage of a weighted moving average is that recent actual results can be given more importance than what occurred a while ago.

A) True
B) False

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Use of simple linear regression analysis assumes that:


A) Variations around the line are random.
B) Deviations around the line are normally distributed.
C) Predictions are to be made only within the range of observed values of the predictor variable.
D) all of the above
E) none of the above

F) A) and D)
G) A) and C)

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The forecasting method which uses anonymous questionnaires to achieve a consensus forecast is:


A) sales force opinions
B) consumer surveys
C) the Delphi method
D) time series analysis
E) executive opinions

F) A) and D)
G) A) and E)

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What is the spring's seasonal relative?

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(Spring 0.91) (Summe...

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Which term most closely relates to associative forecasting techniques?


A) time series data
B) expert opinions
C) Delphi technique
D) consumer survey
E) predictor variables

F) B) and D)
G) None of the above

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A consumer survey is an easy and sure way to obtain accurate input from future customers since most people enjoy participating in surveys.

A) True
B) False

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False

What is this month's forecast using a four-month weighted moving average with weights of .4, .3, .2, and .1?


A) 120
B) 129
C) 141
D) 135
E) 140

F) All of the above
G) C) and D)

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Given the following data, develop a linear regression model for y as a function of x.

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Over the past five years, a firm's sales have averaged 250 units in the first quarter of each year, 100 units in the second quarter, 150 units in the third quarter, and 300 units in the fourth quarter.What are appropriate quarter relatives for this firm's sales? Hint: Only minimal computations are necessary.

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The best forecast is not necessarily the most accurate.

A) True
B) False

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A managerial approach toward forecasting which seeks to actively influence demand is:


A) reactive
B) proactive
C) influential
D) protracted
E) retroactive

F) A) and E)
G) B) and D)

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Which of the following would be an advantage of using a sales force composite to develop a demand forecast?


A) The sales staff is least affected by changing customer needs.
B) The sales force can easily distinguish between customer desires and probable actions.
C) The sales staff is often aware of customers' future plans.
D) Salespeople are least likely to be influenced by recent events.
E) Salespeople are least likely to be biased by sales quotas.

F) A) and B)
G) A) and C)

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What is this week's forecast using the naive approach?


A) 45
B) 50
C) 52
D) 65
E) 78

F) C) and D)
G) A) and E)

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B

What are this and next year's forecasts using the least squares trend line for these data?

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What is the forecast for this year using exponential smoothing with alpha = .4, if the forecast for two years ago was 750?


A) 163
B) 180
C) 300
D) 420
E) 510

F) B) and D)
G) B) and C)

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What is this year's forecast using a two-year weighted moving average with weights of .7 and .3?


A) 19,400
B) 18,600
C) 19,000
D) 11,400
E) 10,600

F) B) and C)
G) None of the above

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A

What is the monthly rate of change (slope) of the least squares trend line for these data?


A) 320
B) 102
C) 8
D) -0.4
E) -8

F) B) and C)
G) A) and D)

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In exponential smoothing, an alpha of .30 will cause a forecast to react more quickly to a large error than will an alpha of .20.

A) True
B) False

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Given forecast errors of 5, 0, - 4, and 3, what is the bias?


A) - 4
B) 4
C) 5
D) 12
E) 6

F) A) and B)
G) C) and E)

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